VB 571 · SAT → QRO

departs 8:16 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at QRO more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to QRO?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at QRO

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

QRO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 571 · SAT → QRO

Odds over time

How late will it get to QRO?