Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
VIVA AEROBUS · FLIGHT VB 5
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
VB 5 · SAT → ROW
departs 5:16 PM CT · arrives 6:01 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 10/28
Fri 10/30 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ROW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ROW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ROW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from SAT are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ROW
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
ROW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.