VB 671 · SAT → MTY

departs 11:54 AM CT · arrives 12:15 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MTY?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into MTY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.09 in

MTY (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 671 · SAT → MTY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MTY?