VB 683 · DFW → MTY

departs 3:45 PM CT · arrives 4:37 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MTY?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTY (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

VB 683 · DFW → MTY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MTY?