Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1010 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

WN 1010 · BWI → HOU

departs 9:42 AM ET · arrives 11:51 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1010 · BWI → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?