Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1014
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 1014 · IND → RSW
departs 6:35 AM ET · arrives 8:59 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 5%
Wed 10/28
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
5%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
5%
Leave 15+ late
4%
Arrive 1h+ late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at IND
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RSW (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 9.2 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.