Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1025
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 1025 · CUN → MCO
departs 2:56 PM EST · arrives 5:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 39%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 17%
Sun 11/1 30%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±13 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave CUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CUN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling —
Visibility —
Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt
Ceiling 1,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.