Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1073 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

WN 1073 · BWI → MDW

departs 8:19 PM ET · arrives 9:22 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↑ 8pm departures from BWI are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1073 · BWI → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?