WN 1082 · MDW → SDF

took off 1:45 PM CT · landed 3:31 PM ET (scheduled 1:04 PM CT → 3:17 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SDF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDF

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SDF (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1082 · MDW → SDF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SDF?