Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1090
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 1090 · MCO → SJU
departs 2:55 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM AT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Wed 10/28
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
2pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.