WN 1161 · DAL → MCI

took off 12:07 PM CT · landed 1:15 PM CT (scheduled 10:54 AM CT → 12:32 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1161 · DAL → MCI

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCI?