WN 1231 · TPA → PVD

took off 10:18 AM ET · expected to land 12:37 PM ET (scheduled 10:11 AM ET → 1:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into PVD at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1231 · TPA → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?