WN 1265 · CMH → MDW

took off 3:39 PM ET · landed 3:21 PM CT (scheduled 2:32 PM ET → 2:51 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from CMH are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1265 · CMH → MDW

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDW?