WN 1372 · LAS → PDX

departs 3:03 PM PT · arrives 5:24 PM PT

Your aircraft is N8574Z (B738), coming in as WN 3032 from OMA: landed 1:58 PM PT.

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1372 · LAS → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?