WN 1379 · LGB → HNL

took off 8:06 AM PT · expected to land 11:02 AM HT (scheduled 7:56 AM PT → 10:56 AM HT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HNL?

LIVE

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 4.0 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↓ 7am departures from LGB are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB

Weather at each end

LGB (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1379 · LGB → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?