WN 1685 · BNA → DAL

took off 8:43 AM CT · expected to land 10:08 AM CT (scheduled 8:09 AM CT → 10:02 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DAL?

LIVE

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1685 · BNA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?