Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1727
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 1727 · FLL → BWI
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 10:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Wed 10/28
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from FLL are often late
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.