WN 1817 · TPA → AUS

took off 7:12 AM ET · landed 8:18 AM CT (scheduled 6:57 AM ET → 8:34 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1817 · TPA → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?