Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2042 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, October 28 Today

WN 2042 · MDW → AUS

took off 1:01 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 12:15 PM CT → 2:57 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from MDW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2042 · MDW → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?