WN 2085 · HOU → MDW

took off 9:24 AM CT · expected to land 11:21 AM CT (scheduled 9:02 AM CT → 11:24 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MDW?

LIVE

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↓ 9am departures from HOU are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

MDW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2085 · HOU → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?