WN 2098 · DAL → SAT

took off 3:06 PM CT · landed 3:49 PM CT (scheduled 2:52 PM CT → 4:03 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2098 · DAL → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?