WN 2123 · DAL → ELP

departs 7:47 AM CT · arrives 8:35 AM MT

Your aircraft is N8706W (B38M), coming in as WN 1797 from DEN: landed 9:10 PM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at ELP more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ELP?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ELP (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2123 · DAL → ELP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ELP?