WN 2153 · MSY → BNA

departs 7:52 AM CT · arrives 9:27 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8320J (B738), coming in as WN 937 from HOU: still at HOU, due off about 6:24 AM CT, 41 min before departure.

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2153 · MSY → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?