Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2179 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, October 28

WN 2179 · CMH → HOU

took off 6:30 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:14 PM ET → 8:01 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from CMH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2179 · CMH → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?