WN 249 · ONT → OAK

took off 7:54 AM PT · expected to land 8:47 AM PT (scheduled 6:37 AM PT → 7:59 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OAK?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
74%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OAK (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 249 · ONT → OAK

Odds over time

How late will it get to OAK?