WN 2523 · MCO → BHM

took off 8:41 PM ET · landed 8:54 PM CT (scheduled 7:47 PM ET → 8:26 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at BHM more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BHM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

BHM (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2523 · MCO → BHM

Odds over time

How late did it get to BHM?