WN 259 · MSY → HOU

took off 10:00 AM CT · expected to land 10:48 AM CT (scheduled 8:55 AM CT → 10:16 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

99% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to HOU?

LIVE

On time or early
1%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
75%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 259 · MSY → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?