Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2721
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 2721 · MCO → HOU
departs 5:01 PM ET · arrives 6:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30 32%
Sat 10/31 12%
Mon 11/2 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±4 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.