WN 2729 · AUS → RDU

took off 4:00 PM CT · landed 7:17 PM ET (scheduled 2:23 PM CT → 6:13 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RDU?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
✓
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at RDU that day

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2729 · AUS → RDU

Odds over time

How late did it get to RDU?