Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2788
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 2788 · MCO → RDU
departs 3:28 PM ET · arrives 5:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 30%
Fri 10/30 31%
Sun 11/1 38%
Mon 11/2 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
9%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
3pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at RDU that day
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
RDU (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.