WN 2810 · PHX → SLC

took off 9:04 PM MT · landed 11:14 PM MT (scheduled 8:47 PM MT → 11:23 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±4 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SLC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SLC at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2810 · PHX → SLC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SLC?