WN 2990 · MDW → SJC

took off 10:48 AM CT · expected to land 1:03 PM PT (scheduled 10:23 AM CT → 12:53 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

49% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SJC?

LIVE

On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
43%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ SJC is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJC

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2990 · MDW → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?