WN 3017 · MEM → HOU

departs 5:51 AM CT · arrives 7:41 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

3% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
97%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM

Weather at each end

MEM (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HOU (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3017 · MEM → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?