WN 3137 · MSY → SAT

took off 3:01 PM CT · landed 4:14 PM CT (scheduled 2:51 PM CT → 4:29 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from MSY are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3137 · MSY → SAT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAT?