WN 3152 · OAK → BUR

took off 7:54 AM PT · expected to land 8:43 AM PT (scheduled 7:46 AM PT → 9:05 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ 7am departures from OAK are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

Weather at each end

OAK (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3152 · OAK → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?