WN 332 · PDX → OAK

took off 5:54 PM PT · landed 7:15 PM PT (scheduled 5:27 PM PT → 7:12 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OAK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OAK

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.17 in

OAK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 332 · PDX → OAK

Odds over time

How late did it get to OAK?