Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3395
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 3395 · PHX → HNL
departs 9:42 AM MT · arrives 1:00 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28
Sat 10/31 16%
Sun 11/1 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
HNL is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HNL (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.