WN 346 · MKE → RSW

took off 2:30 PM CT · landed 5:54 PM ET (scheduled 2:14 PM CT → 6:06 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RSW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling11,429 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

RSW (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling1,186 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 346 · MKE → RSW

Odds over time

How late did it get to RSW?