WN 3490 · MAF → DAL

took off 4:28 PM CT · landed 5:21 PM CT (scheduled 4:22 PM CT → 5:40 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DAL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DAL at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MAF (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

DAL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3490 · MAF → DAL

Odds over time

How late did it get to DAL?