Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3566
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
WN 3566 · RDU → MCO
departs 1:55 PM ET · arrives 3:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 16%
Fri 10/30 18%
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±10 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt forecast at MCO that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
1pm departures from RDU are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.