WN 3579 · RNO → BUR

took off 12:05 PM PT · expected to land 1:00 PM PT (scheduled 11:39 AM PT → 1:03 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BUR?

LIVE

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from RNO are often late

↑ BUR is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO

Weather at each end

RNO (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3579 · RNO → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?