WN 4107 · LGA → DEN

left the gate 8:34 AM ET · taxiing (scheduled 8:29 AM ET → 10:28 AM MT)

Your aircraft is N9029H (B38M), coming in as WN 1654 from DEN: landed 10:12 PM ET.

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4107 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?