WN 433 · HOU → AUS

took off 12:00 PM CT · landed 12:29 PM CT (scheduled 10:53 AM CT → 11:50 AM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AUS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 10am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

AUS (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 433 · HOU → AUS

Odds over time

How late did it get to AUS?