WN 4358 · DEN → SEA

took off 9:06 PM MT · landed 10:31 PM PT (scheduled 8:46 PM MT → 10:28 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SEA that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4358 · DEN → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?