Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 443 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 5:32 PM CT (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Wednesday, October 28 Today

WN 443 · AUS → SNA

departs 5:02 PM CT · arrives 6:14 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SNA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 443 · AUS → SNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SNA?