WN 4488 · HOU → LGA

took off 3:35 PM CT · landed 7:25 PM ET (scheduled 2:41 PM CT → 7:12 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LGA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from HOU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

LGA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8.64286 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4488 · HOU → LGA

Odds over time

How late did it get to LGA?