WN 4606 · MCI → SAN

departs 7:17 AM CT · arrives 8:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from MCI are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4606 · MCI → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?