WN 4658 · PIT → STL

took off 7:23 PM ET · landed 7:46 PM CT (scheduled 7:12 PM ET → 7:58 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into STL at that hour are often late

↑ 7pm departures from PIT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4658 · PIT → STL

Odds over time

How late did it get to STL?