WN 4782 · BNA → ATL

departs 4:10 PM CT · arrives 6:19 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8971L (B38M), coming in as WN 4794 from ABQ: landed 2:44 PM CT.

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from BNA are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4782 · BNA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?