WN 4877 · AUS → STL

took off 1:21 PM CT · landed 2:53 PM CT (scheduled 12:38 PM CT → 2:39 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to STL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4877 · AUS → STL

Odds over time

How late did it get to STL?